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Falchion Case

Case · 2020

Falchion Case

Falchion Case is a Counter-Strike 2 weapon case from 2020 containing 28 items across 16 regular skins plus 12 rare special items (knives / gloves). Item prices range from $0.51 to $516.

Falchion Case: unbox one of 28 skins. See the full drop pool, rarity odds and live market prices.

28 items16 skins★ 12 rare specialsStatTrak™ availablePrices $0.51 – $516
Open this case — free simulator

Drop chances

Official Counter-Strike 2 case odds. Each unboxed item has an independent 10% chance to roll StatTrak™.

Mil-Spec

79.92%

Restricted

15.98%

Classified

3.20%

Covert

0.64%

★ Rare Special

0.26%

★ Rare Special Item

0.26% combined · ~0.022% per item

Falchion Knife FadeD-tier86% Fade

Falchion Knife

Fade

★ Knife
Steam$190.00
Markets from$171.00−10%
Falchion Knife SlaughterD-tier

Falchion Knife

Slaughter

★ Knife
Steam$106.00
Markets from$95.80−10%
Falchion Knife Blue SteelD-tier

Falchion Knife

Blue Steel

★ Knife
Steam$70.10
Markets from$63.90−9%
Falchion Knife StainedD-tier

Falchion Knife

Stained

★ Knife
Steam$62.70
Markets from$54.40−13%
Falchion Knife Case HardenedD-tier

Falchion Knife

Case Hardened

★ Knife
Steam$99.50
Markets from$83.80−16%
Falchion Knife Forest DDPATD-tier

Falchion Knife

Forest DDPAT

★ Knife
Steam$39.30
Markets from$34.60−12%
Falchion Knife Boreal ForestD-tier

Falchion Knife

Boreal Forest

★ Knife
Steam$44.10
Markets from$38.30−13%
Falchion Knife Crimson WebD-tier

Falchion Knife

Crimson Web

★ Knife
Steam$126.00
Markets from$105.00−17%
Falchion Knife NightD-tier

Falchion Knife

Night

★ Knife
Steam$46.80
Markets from$38.80−17%
Falchion Knife ScorchedD-tier

Falchion Knife

Scorched

★ Knife
Steam$43.40
Markets from$37.90−13%
Falchion Knife Safari MeshD-tier

Falchion Knife

Safari Mesh

★ Knife
Steam$34.40
Markets from$31.20−9%
Falchion Knife Urban MaskedD-tier

Falchion Knife

Urban Masked

★ Knife
Steam$47.20
Markets from$41.00−13%

Covert2 skins

0.64% tier · 0.320% per skin

AK-47 Aquamarine RevengeC-tier

AK-47

Aquamarine Revenge

Covert
Steam$35.80
Markets from$31.70−11%
AWP Hyper BeastC-tier💎 −8% on SkinSwap - Market

AWP

Hyper Beast

Covert
Steam$33.98
Markets from$29.00−15%

Classified3 skins

3.20% tier · 1.067% per skin

CZ75-Auto Yellow JacketD-tier💎 −6% on BUFF Market

CZ75-Auto

Yellow Jacket

Classified
Steam$4.74
Markets from$4.21−11%
MP7 NemesisC-tier💎 −12% on CS.Trade

MP7

Nemesis

Classified
Steam$8.25
Markets from$7.07−14%
SG 553 CyrexD-tier💎 −9% on LIS-SKINS

SG 553

Cyrex

Classified
Steam$4.87
Markets from$4.09−16%

Restricted5 skins

15.98% tier · 3.196% per skin

FAMAS Neural Net💎 −8% on Youpin898

FAMAS

Neural Net

Restricted
Steam$1.08
Markets from$0.97−10%
P2000 Handgun💎 −18% on BUFF163

P2000

Handgun

Restricted
Steam$0.94
Markets from$0.86−9%
M4A4 Evil DaimyoD-tier💎 −18% on BUFF163

M4A4

Evil Daimyo

Restricted
Steam$3.67
Markets from$3.08−16%
MP9 Ruby Poison DartD-tier💎 −11% on BUFF163

MP9

Ruby Poison Dart

Restricted
Steam$1.67
Markets from$1.48−11%
Negev Loudmouth💎 −33% on BUFF163

Negev

Loudmouth

Restricted
Steam$0.90
Markets from$0.82−9%

Mil-Spec6 skins

79.92% tier · 13.320% per skin

Galil AR Rocket Pop💎 −14% on iTrade.gg

Galil AR

Rocket Pop

Mil-Spec
Steam$0.57
Markets from$0.50−12%
Glock-18 Bunsen Burner💎 −12% on C5GAME

Glock-18

Bunsen Burner

Mil-Spec
Steam$0.70
Markets from$0.61−13%
Nova Ranger💎 −30% on ECOSteam

Nova

Ranger

Mil-Spec
Steam$0.53
Markets from$0.48−9%
P90 Elite Build💎 −25% on BUFF163

P90

Elite Build

Mil-Spec
Steam$0.51
Markets from$0.47−8%
UMP-45 Riot💎 −20% on C5GAME

UMP-45

Riot

Mil-Spec
Steam$0.69
Markets from$0.61−12%
USP-S Torque💎 −9% on BUFF163

USP-S

Torque

Mil-Spec
Steam$0.72
Markets from$0.63−12%

Unboxing economics

Theoretical math based on average wear-tier prices across the catalog. Real returns vary with float, pattern and market liquidity.

Expected drop value

$3.93

Key cost

$2.50

Cheapest possible

$0.51

Jackpot ceiling

$516

Net expected per opening: $1.43 — above key cost on average.

Falchion Case — live market prices

  • Market.CSGO

    290 in stock

    $1.63

  • LIS-SKINS

    259 in stock

    $1.57

    Buy

  • BUFF163

    579 in stock

    $1.56

    Buy

  • Skin.Land

    259 in stock

    $1.58

    Buy

  • CSFloat

    2,543 in stock

    $1.51

    Buy

  • WAXPEER

    197 in stock

    $1.60

    Buy

  • BUFF Market

    290 in stock

    $1.59

    Buy

  • C5GAME

    572 in stock

    $1.54

    Buy

  • Youpin898

    1,159 in stock

    $1.57

    Buy

  • SkinSwap - Market

    246 in stock

    $1.50

    Buy

  • Mannco.store

    448 in stock

    $1.67

    Buy

  • Dupe.fi

    11 in stock

    $1.60

    Buy

  • Steam Community Market

    14,169 in stock

    $2.37

    Buy

  • SkinSwap - Trade

    24 in stock

    $2.00

Frequently asked questions

How many skins are in Falchion Case?+
Falchion Case contains 28 skins — 12 Knife, 6 Mil-Spec, 5 Restricted, 3 Classified. Each rarity tier has its own drop chance; see the breakdown above.
What's the rarest skin in Falchion Case?+
Falchion Knife | Fade sits at the Knife tier — the rarest in this case (knives and gloves are even rarer when present as Rare Special Items).
When was Falchion Case released?+
Falchion Case was released in 2020. Counter-Strike 2 inherits CS:GO's case catalog, so older cases still drop and trade actively.
What's the most expensive skin in Falchion Case?+
Falchion Knife | Fade is the top-priced item at $190.00 for its cheapest available wear. Factory New and StatTrak™ variants typically trade for multiples of that.
Where can I buy Falchion Case keys and items?+
Open Falchion Case keys via the in-game store. For individual items already unboxed by others, compare Steam Market with the major third-party marketplaces — they undercut Steam by 8–25%.
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