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Operation Vanguard Weapon Case Opening Simulator

Open the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case for free using the real Counter-Strike 2 drop odds — 74 possible items, prices from $0.78 to $3.8k. Watch the animated unboxing, roll a float and StatTrak™, then jump straight to live market listings for whatever you pull. No real money, no keys, no items are won or traded.

Headline pulls include AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel, P2000 | Fire Elemental plus 60 rare special knife / glove finishes.

Operation Vanguard Weapon Case case

Free simulator for Operation Vanguard Weapon Case. Uses the official CS2 drop odds. No real money, no keys, no items are won or traded — results are illustrative only.

Drop odds

Official CS2 case odds. Each unboxed item has an independent 10% chance to roll StatTrak™.

Mil-Spec

79.92%

5 items

Restricted

15.98%

4 items

Classified

3.20%

3 items

Covert

0.64%

2 items

★ Rare Special

0.26%

60 items

Is the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case worth opening?

Expected drop value vs. key cost, from average wear-tier prices across the catalog. Real returns vary with float, pattern and market liquidity.

Expected drop value

$8.81

Key cost

$2.50

Cheapest possible

$0.78

Jackpot ceiling

$3.8k

Net expected per opening: $6.31 — around break-even on average. Unboxing is entertainment, not investment.

Frequently asked questions

Is the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case opening simulator free?+
Yes. The Operation Vanguard Weapon Case simulator is completely free and uses the official Counter-Strike 2 drop odds. No real money, no keys and no real items are involved — nothing is won, sold or traded. It is a demonstrative tool to show what opening this case feels like and how the odds play out.
What are the odds in the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case?+
Each opening uses Valve's published case odds: Mil-Spec 79.92%, Restricted 15.98%, Classified 3.20%, Covert 0.64% and a Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) 0.26%. Every item also has an independent 10% chance to roll StatTrak™.
Is it worth opening the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case?+
On average, opening this case returns about $8.81 in drop value against a ~$2.50 key, so the expected result is roughly break-even or slightly positive. The jackpot ceiling is $3.8k, but most openings return a low-value Mil-Spec skin. Treat unboxing as entertainment, not investment.
Are the simulated results real?+
No. Results are illustrative only and exist solely inside this page. To actually obtain a skin you can buy it directly on a marketplace — every result links to its live listings on cs2skins.space.
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