Case · 2020

Operation Wildfire Case

Operation Wildfire Case is a Counter-Strike 2 weapon case from 2020 containing 28 items across 16 regular skins plus 12 rare special items (knives / gloves). Item prices range from $0.32 to $665. This case is retired — it no longer drops in active CS2, but every skin from it remains tradeable.

Operation Wildfire Case: unbox one of 28 skins. See the full drop pool, rarity odds and live market prices.

Retired — no longer drops in active CS2. Skins from this case stay tradeable.

28 items16 skins★ 12 rare specialsStatTrak™ availablePrices $0.32 – $665

Open this case — free simulator

Drop chances

Official Counter-Strike 2 case odds. Each unboxed item has an independent 10% chance to roll StatTrak™.

Mil-Spec

79.92%

Restricted

15.98%

Classified

3.20%

Covert

0.64%

★ Rare Special

0.26%

★ Rare Special Item

0.26% combined · ~0.022% per item

D-tier97% Fade

Bowie Knife

Fade

★ Knife

Steam$180.00

Markets from$162.00−10%

D-tier

Bowie Knife

Slaughter

★ Knife

Steam$127.00

Markets from$114.00−10%

D-tier

Bowie Knife

Blue Steel

★ Knife

Steam$74.20

Markets from$66.30−11%

D-tier

Bowie Knife

Stained

★ Knife

Steam$73.50

Markets from$65.80−10%

D-tier

Bowie Knife

Case Hardened

★ Knife

Steam$107.00

Markets from$87.80−18%

D-tier

Bowie Knife

Forest DDPAT

★ Knife

Steam$48.30

Markets from$43.80−9%

D-tier

Bowie Knife

Boreal Forest

★ Knife

Steam$51.20

Markets from$43.10−16%

D-tier

Bowie Knife

Crimson Web

★ Knife

Steam$123.00

Markets from$110.00−11%

D-tier

Bowie Knife

Night

★ Knife

Steam$60.20

Markets from$53.90−10%

D-tier

Bowie Knife

Scorched

★ Knife

Steam$47.60

Markets from$43.40−9%

D-tier

Bowie Knife

Safari Mesh

★ Knife

Steam$44.60

Markets from$37.80−15%

D-tier

Bowie Knife

Urban Masked

★ Knife

Steam$39.50

Markets from$33.00−16%

Covert2 skins

0.64% tier · 0.320% per skin

B-tier💎 −9% on SkinSwap - Market

AK-47

Fuel Injector

Covert

Steam$124.89

Markets from$108.00−14%

C-tier💎 −9% on BUFF163

M4A4

The Battlestar

Covert

Steam$31.77

Markets from$26.70−16%

Classified3 skins

3.20% tier · 1.067% per skin

C-tier💎 −8% on SkinSwap - Market

AWP

Elite Build

Classified

Steam$13.79

Markets from$12.10−12%

C-tier💎 −6% on SkinSwap - Market

Desert Eagle

Kumicho Dragon

Classified

Steam$20.42

Markets from$17.40−15%

C-tier💎 −13% on SkinSwap - Market

Nova

Hyper Beast

Classified

Steam$13.65

Markets from$11.40−16%

Restricted5 skins

15.98% tier · 3.196% per skin

D-tier

FAMAS

Valence

Restricted

Steam$3.85

Markets from$3.16−18%

D-tier💎 −40% on LIS-SKINS

Five-SeveN

Triumvirate

Glock-18

Royal Legion

Restricted

Steam$2.65

Markets from$2.20−17%

D-tier💎 −12% on BUFF163

MAG-7

Praetorian

Restricted

Steam$2.12

Markets from$1.75−17%

D-tier💎 −11% on Youpin898

MP7

Impire

Restricted

Steam$2.37

Markets from$2.17−8%

Mil-Spec6 skins

79.92% tier · 13.320% per skin

💎 −26% on BUFF163

PP-Bizon

Photic Zone

Dual Berettas

Cartel

Mil-Spec

Steam$0.38

Markets from$0.32−16%

💎 −9% on C5GAME

MAC-10

Lapis Gator

Mil-Spec

Steam$0.65

Markets from$0.54−17%

💎 −15% on C5GAME

SSG 08

Necropos

Mil-Spec

Steam$0.33

Markets from$0.28−15%

💎 −18% on C5GAME

Tec-9

Jambiya

Mil-Spec

Steam$0.36

Markets from$0.31−14%

💎 −6% on BUFF163

USP-S

Lead Conduit

Mil-Spec

Steam$0.66

Markets from$0.54−18%

Unboxing economics

Theoretical math based on average wear-tier prices across the catalog. Real returns vary with float, pattern and market liquidity.

Expected drop value

$8.14

Key cost

$2.50

Cheapest possible

$0.32

Jackpot ceiling

$665

Net expected per opening: $5.64 — above key cost on average.

Operation Wildfire Case — live market prices

Market.CSGO
613 in stock
$3.06
LIS-SKINS
557 in stock
$2.94
Buy
BUFF163
992 in stock
$3.03
Buy
Skin.Land
558 in stock
$3.07
Buy
CSFloat
3,235 in stock
$2.85
Buy
WAXPEER
225 in stock
$2.95
Buy
BUFF Market
715 in stock
$3.20
Buy
C5GAME
1,714 in stock
$2.86
Buy
Youpin898
2,256 in stock
$3.03
Buy
Swap.gg
462 in stock
$3.97
Buy
SkinSwap - Market
297 in stock
$2.77
Buy
Mannco.store
77 in stock
$3.10
Buy
Dupe.fi
19 in stock
$3.09
Buy
Steam Community Market
12,011 in stock
$4.17
Buy
SkinSwap - Trade
7 in stock
$4.08

Frequently asked questions

How many skins are in Operation Wildfire Case?+

Operation Wildfire Case contains 28 skins — 12 Knife, 6 Mil-Spec, 5 Restricted, 3 Classified. Each rarity tier has its own drop chance; see the breakdown above.

What's the rarest skin in Operation Wildfire Case?+

Bowie Knife | Fade sits at the Knife tier — the rarest in this case (knives and gloves are even rarer when present as Rare Special Items).

When was Operation Wildfire Case released?+

Operation Wildfire Case was released in 2020. Counter-Strike 2 inherits CS:GO's case catalog, so older cases still drop and trade actively.

What's the most expensive skin in Operation Wildfire Case?+

Bowie Knife | Fade is the top-priced item at $180.00 for its cheapest available wear. Factory New and StatTrak™ variants typically trade for multiples of that.

Where can I buy Operation Wildfire Case keys and items?+

Open Operation Wildfire Case keys via the in-game store. For individual items already unboxed by others, compare Steam Market with the major third-party marketplaces — they undercut Steam by 8–25%.

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