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The Arms Deal Collection

Collection · 2020

The Arms Deal Collection

The Arms Deal Collection is a skin collection from 2020 containing 9 items across 9 regular skins. Item prices range from $18.86 to $923.

The Arms Deal Collection: browse all 9 skins with rarity tiers and live market prices.

9 items9 skinsStatTrak™ availablePrices $18.86 – $923

Drop chances

Official Counter-Strike 2 case odds. Each unboxed item has an independent 10% chance to roll StatTrak™.

Mil-Spec

79.92%

Restricted

15.98%

Classified

3.20%

Covert

0.64%

★ Rare Special

0.26%

Covert1 skin

0.64% tier · 0.640% per skin

AWP Lightning StrikeA-tier

AWP

Lightning Strike

Covert
Steam$606.67
Markets from$541.00−11%

Classified2 skins

3.20% tier · 1.600% per skin

AK-47 Case HardenedB-tier

AK-47

Case Hardened

Classified
Steam$188.19
Markets from$164.00−13%
Desert Eagle HypnoticB-tier💎 −8% on SkinSwap - Market

Desert Eagle

Hypnotic

Classified
Steam$287.40
Markets from$261.00−9%

Restricted3 skins

15.98% tier · 5.327% per skin

Glock-18 Dragon TattooC-tier💎 −11% on Youpin898

Glock-18

Dragon Tattoo

Restricted
Steam$159.78
Markets from$146.00−9%
M4A1-S Dark WaterC-tier💎 −8% on SkinSwap - Market

M4A1-S

Dark Water

Restricted
Steam$75.27
Markets from$62.30−17%
USP-S Dark WaterC-tier💎 −8% on SkinSwap - Market

USP-S

Dark Water

Restricted
Steam$72.69
Markets from$65.00−11%

Mil-Spec3 skins

79.92% tier · 26.640% per skin

AUG WingsD-tier

AUG

Wings

Mil-Spec
Steam$18.86
Markets from$16.00−15%
MP7 SkullsD-tier💎 −11% on SkinSwap - Market

MP7

Skulls

Mil-Spec
Steam$22.22
Markets from$18.60−16%
SG 553 UltravioletD-tier💎 −10% on SkinSwap - Market

SG 553

Ultraviolet

Mil-Spec
Steam$19.10
Markets from$15.80−17%

Unboxing economics

Theoretical math based on average wear-tier prices across the catalog. Real returns vary with float, pattern and market liquidity.

Expected drop value

$57.07

Key cost

$2.50

Cheapest possible

$18.86

Jackpot ceiling

$923

Net expected per opening: $54.57 — above key cost on average.

Frequently asked questions

How many skins are in The Arms Deal Collection?+
The Arms Deal Collection contains 9 skins — 3 Mil-Spec, 3 Restricted, 2 Classified, 1 Covert. Each rarity tier has its own drop chance; see the breakdown above.
What's the rarest skin in The Arms Deal Collection?+
AWP | Lightning Strike sits at the Covert tier — the rarest in this case (knives and gloves are even rarer when present as Rare Special Items).
When was The Arms Deal Collection released?+
The Arms Deal Collection was released in 2020. Counter-Strike 2 inherits CS:GO's case catalog, so older cases still drop and trade actively.
What's the most expensive skin in The Arms Deal Collection?+
AWP | Lightning Strike is the top-priced item at $606.67 for its cheapest available wear. Factory New and StatTrak™ variants typically trade for multiples of that.
Where can I buy The Arms Deal Collection keys and items?+
Open The Arms Deal Collection keys via the in-game store. For individual items already unboxed by others, compare Steam Market with the major third-party marketplaces — they undercut Steam by 8–25%.
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