Collection · 2020

The Shadow Collection

The Shadow Collection is a skin collection from 2020 containing 16 items across 16 regular skins. Item prices range from $0.21 to $387.

The Shadow Collection: browse all 16 skins with rarity tiers and live market prices.

16 items16 skinsStatTrak™ availablePrices $0.21 – $387

Drop chances

Official Counter-Strike 2 case odds. Each unboxed item has an independent 10% chance to roll StatTrak™.

Mil-Spec

79.92%

Restricted

15.98%

Classified

3.20%

Covert

0.64%

★ Rare Special

0.26%

Covert2 skins

0.64% tier · 0.320% per skin

C-tier💎 −7% on SkinSwap - Market

M4A1-S

Golden Coil

Covert

Steam$57.00

Markets from$47.80−16%

C-tier💎 −7% on SkinSwap - Market

USP-S

Kill Confirmed

Covert

Steam$54.55

Markets from$46.40−15%

Classified3 skins

3.20% tier · 1.067% per skin

C-tier💎 −8% on BUFF163

AK-47

Frontside Misty

Classified

Steam$18.48

Markets from$16.10−13%

D-tier💎 −10% on Youpin898

G3SG1

Flux

Classified

Steam$6.79

Markets from$5.74−15%

C-tier💎 −11% on Youpin898

SSG 08

Big Iron

Classified

Steam$9.35

Markets from$7.90−16%

Restricted4 skins

15.98% tier · 3.995% per skin

D-tier💎 −8% on BUFF163

Galil AR

Stone Cold

Restricted

Steam$2.54

Markets from$2.24−12%

D-tier💎 −10% on BUFF163

M249

Nebula Crusader

Restricted

Steam$1.21

Markets from$1.02−16%

D-tier💎 −14% on BUFF163

MP7

Special Delivery

Restricted

Steam$1.28

Markets from$1.08−16%

D-tier💎 −11% on BUFF163

P250

Wingshot

Restricted

Steam$1.39

Markets from$1.15−17%

Mil-Spec7 skins

79.92% tier · 11.417% per skin

💎 −14% on Youpin898

Dual Berettas

Dualing Dragons

Mil-Spec

Steam$0.26

Markets from$0.22−15%

💎 −15% on Youpin898

FAMAS

Survivor Z

Mil-Spec

Steam$0.40

Markets from$0.34−15%

💎 −20% on Mannco.store

Glock-18

Wraiths

Mil-Spec

Steam$0.42

Markets from$0.36−14%

MAC-10

Rangeen

Mil-Spec

Steam$0.26

Markets from$0.23−12%

💎 −21% on BUFF163

MAG-7

Cobalt Core

Mil-Spec

Steam$0.24

Markets from$0.20−17%

💎 −26% on CS.Trade

SCAR-20

Green Marine

Mil-Spec

Steam$0.24

Markets from$0.20−17%

💎 −15% on Youpin898

XM1014

Scumbria

Mil-Spec

Steam$0.21

Markets from$0.18−14%

Unboxing economics

Theoretical math based on average wear-tier prices across the catalog. Real returns vary with float, pattern and market liquidity.

Expected drop value

$4.62

Key cost

$2.50

Cheapest possible

$0.21

Jackpot ceiling

$387

Net expected per opening: $2.12 — above key cost on average.

Frequently asked questions

How many skins are in The Shadow Collection?+

The Shadow Collection contains 16 skins — 7 Mil-Spec, 4 Restricted, 3 Classified, 2 Covert. Each rarity tier has its own drop chance; see the breakdown above.

What's the rarest skin in The Shadow Collection?+

M4A1-S | Golden Coil sits at the Covert tier — the rarest in this case (knives and gloves are even rarer when present as Rare Special Items).

When was The Shadow Collection released?+

The Shadow Collection was released in 2020. Counter-Strike 2 inherits CS:GO's case catalog, so older cases still drop and trade actively.

What's the most expensive skin in The Shadow Collection?+

M4A1-S | Golden Coil is the top-priced item at $57.00 for its cheapest available wear. Factory New and StatTrak™ variants typically trade for multiples of that.

Where can I buy The Shadow Collection keys and items?+

Open The Shadow Collection keys via the in-game store. For individual items already unboxed by others, compare Steam Market with the major third-party marketplaces — they undercut Steam by 8–25%.

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