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Shadow Case

Case · 2020

Shadow Case

Shadow Case is a Counter-Strike 2 weapon case from 2020 containing 28 items across 16 regular skins plus 12 rare special items (knives / gloves). Item prices range from $0.21 to $531.

Shadow Case: unbox one of 28 skins. See the full drop pool, rarity odds and live market prices.

28 items16 skins★ 12 rare specialsStatTrak™ availablePrices $0.21 – $531
Open this case — free simulator

Drop chances

Official Counter-Strike 2 case odds. Each unboxed item has an independent 10% chance to roll StatTrak™.

Mil-Spec

79.92%

Restricted

15.98%

Classified

3.20%

Covert

0.64%

★ Rare Special

0.26%

★ Rare Special Item

0.26% combined · ~0.022% per item

Shadow Daggers FadeD-tier85% Fade

Shadow Daggers

Fade

★ Knife
Steam$212.00
Markets from$193.00−9%
Shadow Daggers SlaughterD-tier

Shadow Daggers

Slaughter

★ Knife
Steam$116.00
Markets from$103.00−11%
Shadow Daggers Blue SteelD-tier

Shadow Daggers

Blue Steel

★ Knife
Steam$77.30
Markets from$70.10−9%
Shadow Daggers StainedD-tier

Shadow Daggers

Stained

★ Knife
Steam$63.60
Markets from$57.90−9%
Shadow Daggers Case HardenedD-tier

Shadow Daggers

Case Hardened

★ Knife
Steam$106.00
Markets from$87.30−18%
Shadow Daggers Forest DDPATD-tier

Shadow Daggers

Forest DDPAT

★ Knife
Steam$47.70
Markets from$40.10−16%
Shadow Daggers Boreal ForestD-tier

Shadow Daggers

Boreal Forest

★ Knife
Steam$39.30
Markets from$33.40−15%
Shadow Daggers Crimson WebD-tier

Shadow Daggers

Crimson Web

★ Knife
Steam$123.00
Markets from$104.00−15%
Shadow Daggers NightD-tier

Shadow Daggers

Night

★ Knife
Steam$63.00
Markets from$53.90−14%
Shadow Daggers ScorchedD-tier

Shadow Daggers

Scorched

★ Knife
Steam$41.30
Markets from$37.70−9%
Shadow Daggers Safari MeshD-tier

Shadow Daggers

Safari Mesh

★ Knife
Steam$37.70
Markets from$32.70−13%
Shadow Daggers Urban MaskedD-tier

Shadow Daggers

Urban Masked

★ Knife
Steam$36.40
Markets from$32.20−12%

Covert2 skins

0.64% tier · 0.320% per skin

M4A1-S Golden CoilC-tier💎 −7% on SkinSwap - Market

M4A1-S

Golden Coil

Covert
Steam$57.00
Markets from$47.80−16%
USP-S Kill ConfirmedC-tier💎 −6% on SkinSwap - Market

USP-S

Kill Confirmed

Covert
Steam$54.55
Markets from$46.40−15%

Classified3 skins

3.20% tier · 1.067% per skin

AK-47 Frontside MistyC-tier💎 −6% on SkinSwap - Market

AK-47

Frontside Misty

Classified
Steam$18.48
Markets from$16.10−13%
G3SG1 FluxD-tier💎 −18% on C5GAME

G3SG1

Flux

Classified
Steam$6.79
Markets from$5.74−15%
SSG 08 Big IronC-tier💎 −16% on BUFF Market

SSG 08

Big Iron

Classified
Steam$9.35
Markets from$7.90−16%

Restricted4 skins

15.98% tier · 3.995% per skin

Galil AR Stone ColdD-tier💎 −18% on ECOSteam

Galil AR

Stone Cold

Restricted
Steam$2.54
Markets from$2.24−12%
M249 Nebula CrusaderD-tier💎 −13% on ECOSteam

M249

Nebula Crusader

Restricted
Steam$1.21
Markets from$1.02−16%
MP7 Special DeliveryD-tier💎 −8% on BUFF Market

MP7

Special Delivery

Restricted
Steam$1.28
Markets from$1.08−16%
P250 WingshotD-tier💎 −14% on CS.Trade

P250

Wingshot

Restricted
Steam$1.39
Markets from$1.15−17%

Mil-Spec7 skins

79.92% tier · 11.417% per skin

Dual Berettas Dualing Dragons💎 −15% on C5GAME

Dual Berettas

Dualing Dragons

Mil-Spec
Steam$0.26
Markets from$0.22−15%
FAMAS Survivor Z💎 −9% on C5GAME

FAMAS

Survivor Z

Mil-Spec
Steam$0.40
Markets from$0.34−15%
Glock-18 Wraiths💎 −10% on Youpin898

Glock-18

Wraiths

Mil-Spec
Steam$0.42
Markets from$0.36−14%
MAC-10 Rangeen💎 −38% on BUFF163

MAC-10

Rangeen

Mil-Spec
Steam$0.26
Markets from$0.23−12%
MAG-7 Cobalt Core💎 −18% on BUFF163

MAG-7

Cobalt Core

Mil-Spec
Steam$0.24
Markets from$0.20−17%
SCAR-20 Green Marine💎 −30% on C5GAME

SCAR-20

Green Marine

Mil-Spec
Steam$0.24
Markets from$0.20−17%
XM1014 Scumbria💎 −37% on BUFF163

XM1014

Scumbria

Mil-Spec
Steam$0.21
Markets from$0.18−14%

Unboxing economics

Theoretical math based on average wear-tier prices across the catalog. Real returns vary with float, pattern and market liquidity.

Expected drop value

$4.98

Key cost

$2.50

Cheapest possible

$0.21

Jackpot ceiling

$531

Net expected per opening: $2.48 — above key cost on average.

Shadow Case — live market prices

  • Market.CSGO

    245 in stock

    $1.76

  • LIS-SKINS

    448 in stock

    $1.75

    Buy

  • BUFF163

    652 in stock

    $1.70

    Buy

  • Skin.Land

    448 in stock

    $1.76

    Buy

  • CSFloat

    2,611 in stock

    $1.62

    Buy

  • WAXPEER

    22 in stock

    $1.80

    Buy

  • BUFF Market

    467 in stock

    $1.69

    Buy

  • C5GAME

    838 in stock

    $1.65

    Buy

  • Youpin898

    1,590 in stock

    $1.65

    Buy

  • Swap.gg

    15 in stock

    $2.49

    Buy

  • SkinSwap - Market

    92 in stock

    $1.68

    Buy

  • Mannco.store

    199 in stock

    $1.74

    Buy

  • Steam Community Market

    11,775 in stock

    $2.54

    Buy

  • SkinSwap - Trade

    100 in stock

    $2.40

Frequently asked questions

How many skins are in Shadow Case?+
Shadow Case contains 28 skins — 12 Knife, 7 Mil-Spec, 4 Restricted, 3 Classified. Each rarity tier has its own drop chance; see the breakdown above.
What's the rarest skin in Shadow Case?+
Shadow Daggers | Fade sits at the Knife tier — the rarest in this case (knives and gloves are even rarer when present as Rare Special Items).
When was Shadow Case released?+
Shadow Case was released in 2020. Counter-Strike 2 inherits CS:GO's case catalog, so older cases still drop and trade actively.
What's the most expensive skin in Shadow Case?+
Shadow Daggers | Fade is the top-priced item at $212.00 for its cheapest available wear. Factory New and StatTrak™ variants typically trade for multiples of that.
Where can I buy Shadow Case keys and items?+
Open Shadow Case keys via the in-game store. For individual items already unboxed by others, compare Steam Market with the major third-party marketplaces — they undercut Steam by 8–25%.
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