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Shadow Case Opening Simulator

Open the Shadow Case for free using the real Counter-Strike 2 drop odds — 28 possible items, prices from $0.21 to $531. Watch the animated unboxing, roll a float and StatTrak™, then jump straight to live market listings for whatever you pull. No real money, no keys, no items are won or traded.

Headline pulls include M4A1-S | Golden Coil, USP-S | Kill Confirmed plus 12 rare special knife / glove finishes.

Shadow Case case

Free simulator for Shadow Case. Uses the official CS2 drop odds. No real money, no keys, no items are won or traded — results are illustrative only.

Drop odds

Official CS2 case odds. Each unboxed item has an independent 10% chance to roll StatTrak™.

Mil-Spec

79.92%

7 items

Restricted

15.98%

4 items

Classified

3.20%

3 items

Covert

0.64%

2 items

★ Rare Special

0.26%

12 items

Is the Shadow Case worth opening?

Expected drop value vs. key cost, from average wear-tier prices across the catalog. Real returns vary with float, pattern and market liquidity.

Expected drop value

$4.98

Key cost

$2.50

Cheapest possible

$0.21

Jackpot ceiling

$531

Net expected per opening: $2.48 around break-even on average. Unboxing is entertainment, not investment.

Frequently asked questions

Is the Shadow Case opening simulator free?+
Yes. The Shadow Case simulator is completely free and uses the official Counter-Strike 2 drop odds. No real money, no keys and no real items are involved — nothing is won, sold or traded. It is a demonstrative tool to show what opening this case feels like and how the odds play out.
What are the odds in the Shadow Case?+
Each opening uses Valve's published case odds: Mil-Spec 79.92%, Restricted 15.98%, Classified 3.20%, Covert 0.64% and a Rare Special Item (knife or gloves) 0.26%. Every item also has an independent 10% chance to roll StatTrak™.
Is it worth opening the Shadow Case?+
On average, opening this case returns about $4.98 in drop value against a ~$2.50 key, so the expected result is roughly break-even or slightly positive. The jackpot ceiling is $531, but most openings return a low-value Mil-Spec skin. Treat unboxing as entertainment, not investment.
Are the simulated results real?+
No. Results are illustrative only and exist solely inside this page. To actually obtain a skin you can buy it directly on a marketplace — every result links to its live listings on cs2skins.space.
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